D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye’nin bu y\u0131la ait ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme kestirimini y\u00fczde 3,2’den 4,2’ye y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n
Banka, Avrupa ve Orta Asya b\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ekonomik G\u00fcncelleme Raporu’nu “Yava\u015f B\u00fcy\u00fcme, Artan Riskler” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
AA’n\u0131n aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na nazaran, T\u00fcrkiye iktisad\u0131na ait de\u011ferlendirmelerin de yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, \u201cdayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketici talebi ve azalan siyaset belirsizli\u011fi\u201d nedeniyle ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme iddias\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 3,2’den 4,2’ye \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, T\u00fcrkiye’nin gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,1 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 3,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi s\u00f6z edildi.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, haziran ay\u0131ndaki iddialar\u0131nda T\u00fcrk iktisad\u0131n\u0131n 2024’te y\u00fczde 4,3, 2025’te 4,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Raporda, \u201ct\u00fcketimin \u00e7ift haneli oranlarda artmas\u0131 ve h\u00fck\u00fcmet harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesiyle T\u00fcrkiye’nin y\u00fczde 3,8’lik ikinci \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin de olumlu istikamette \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (TCMB) siyaset faizlerini may\u0131s ay\u0131ndan bu yana toplam 2 bin 150 baz puan art\u0131rmas\u0131yla para siyasetinde daha fazla ola\u011fanla\u015fmaya hakikat bir de\u011fi\u015fim ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edilen raporda, se\u00e7imlerden bu yana bor\u00e7 ve pay senedi portf\u00f6y\u00fc giri\u015flerinin h\u0131zlanarak d\u00f6viz rezervleri \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 hafifletti\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
AVRUPA VE ORTA ASYA B\u00d6LGES\u0130 B\u00dcY\u00dcME KEST\u0130R\u0130M\u0130NDE \u00dcST TARAFLI REV\u0130ZYON<\/b><\/p>\n
Raporda, Avrupa ve Orta Asya b\u00f6lgesindeki y\u00fckselen piyasalar ve geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler i\u00e7in 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme varsay\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n de y\u00fczde 1,4’ten 2,4’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki h\u0131zlanman\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131n etkiledi\u011fi Ukrayna ve Orta Asya i\u00e7in iddialardaki g\u00fczelle\u015fmeyi, T\u00fcrkiye’deki t\u00fcketici dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Rusya’da askeri ve toplumsal transferlere y\u00f6nelik kamu harcamalar\u0131nda kaydedilen art\u0131\u015f sayesinde beklenenden yeterli b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 da tabir edildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, Rusya ve Ukrayna d\u0131\u015far\u0131da tutuldu\u011funda, b\u00f6lgenin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ncesi uzun vadeli ortalamalara nazaran zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Genel olarak, Avrupa ve Orta Asya b\u00f6lgesindeki \u00fclkelerin yar\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bu y\u0131l 2022’ye nazaran daha yava\u015f olmas\u0131 yahut \u00e7ok az de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6stermesinin beklendi\u011fine i\u015faret edilen raporda, 2024-2025 devrinde, b\u00f6lgenin en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret orta\u011f\u0131 olan Avrupa Birli\u011fi’ndeki zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin, y\u00fcksek enflasyon, s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan finansal \u015fartlar ve Rusya-Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131’n\u0131n yay\u0131lma tesirleri sebebiyle b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,6 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, \u201ca\u015fa\u011f\u0131 tarafl\u0131 risklerin Avrupa ve Orta Asya b\u00f6lgesindeki y\u00fckselen piyasalar ve geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6lgeledi\u011fi\u201d tabir edilerek, global emtia piyasalar\u0131ndaki y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131k ve g\u00fc\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131ndaki s\u00fcratli art\u0131\u015f kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda enflasyonun y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeylerde kalmaya devam edebilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
‘K\u00dcRESEL F\u0130NANS P\u0130YASALARI DAHA KISITLAYICI HALE GELEB\u0130L\u0130R’<\/b><\/p>\n
D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n raporunda, global finansal piyasalar\u0131n, s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan finansman \u015fartlar\u0131 sebebiyle daha oynak ve k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 hale gelebilece\u011finin alt\u0131 \u00e7izildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, Ukrayna iktisad\u0131n\u0131n, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 29,1’lik daralmadan sonra, daha istikrarl\u0131 elektrik temini, artan kamu harcamalar\u0131, devam eden don\u00f6r dayanaklar\u0131, daha uygun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen hasat ve kimi ihracatlar\u0131n \u00fclkenin bat\u0131 hudutlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden yine y\u00f6nlendirilmesi sayesinde bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Rusya’da, artan kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n ve diren\u00e7li t\u00fcketimin, 2023’te y\u00fczde 1,6’l\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flamas\u0131, kapasite k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131 ve yava\u015flayan t\u00fcketici talebi sebebiyle b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin zay\u0131flayarak 2024’te y\u00fczde 1,3’e, 2025’te 0,9’a inmesinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc de aktar\u0131ld\u0131. (HABER MERKEZ\u0130)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme kestirimini y\u00fczde 3,2’den 4,2’ye y\u00fckseltirken, 2024 kestirimini y\u00fczde 4,3’ten y\u00fczde 3,1’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":34872,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[914,2477,2395,111,2476],"yoast_head":"\n