\u0130kinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131’ndan bu yana d\u00fcnyan\u0131n rezerv para \u00fcnitesi olan ABD dolar\u0131’n\u0131n taht\u0131 sallan\u0131yor mu?<\/p>\n
Dolar\u0131n; \u00fclkelerin d\u00f6viz rezervi, global ticaret ve d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda d\u00f6viz s\u00fcre\u00e7lerindeki hissesi hala en y\u00fckse\u011fi… Evet, gerilemeler var ve \u00c7in Yuan\u0131 bilhassa petrol s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde olmak \u00fczere global ticarette hissesini s\u00fcratle art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Rakamlara bakacak olursak; global d\u00f6viz rezervlerinde dolar\u0131n hissesi bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 58.9 oldu. D\u00fcnyadaki d\u00f6viz s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde dolar\u0131n y\u00fczde 88 \u00fczere bir hissesi var. Global mal ticaretinin yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131 da dolar \u00fczerinden yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Ancak \u00e7ok de\u011ferli bir trend var; t\u00fcm bu oranlarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var. \u00d6rne\u011fin global rezervlerde dolar\u0131n 1999’da y\u00fczde 71 olan hissesi 12 puan d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda. 2012’de ise y\u00fczde 61.5’ti. \u00dclkelerin rezervlerinde alt\u0131na ve \u00c7in Yuan\u0131’na kay\u0131\u015f var.<\/p>\n
PETRODOLAR S\u0130STEM\u0130N\u0130N HAK\u0130M\u0130YET\u0130N\u0130 Y\u0130T\u0130RMEYE BA\u015eLAMASI KISMI B\u0130R DOLARSIZLA\u015eMA<\/b><\/p>\n
\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00c7in, Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131yla birlikte bilhassa petrol ithalat\u0131n\u0131 yuan \u00fczerinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirme e\u011filimini h\u0131zland\u0131rarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Dolar\u0131n bilhassa petrol piyasalar\u0131ndaki aktifli\u011fi son vakitlerde s\u00fcratle azal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Petrodolar sisteminin hakimiyetini yitirmeye ba\u015flamas\u0131 k\u0131smi bir dolars\u0131zla\u015fma manas\u0131na geliyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 JP Morgan’\u0131n ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na nazaran, art\u0131k daha fazla petrol\u00fcn \u00c7in Yuan\u0131 \u00fczere dolar d\u0131\u015f\u0131 para \u00fcniteleriyle s\u00fcre\u00e7 g\u00f6rmesinden \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fc dolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc ile petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ortas\u0131ndaki korelasyon zay\u0131flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
JP Morgan’a nazaran, global petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ana itici g\u00fc\u00e7lerinden biri olan dolar, bir vakitler g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olan tesirini kaybediyor \u00fczere g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
BRICS\u2019TE \u00dc\u00c7 B\u00dcY\u00dcK PETROL DEV\u0130N\u0130N B\u0130R ORTAYA GELMES\u0130 PETRODOLAR\u2019IN SONUNU GET\u0130R\u0130R M\u0130?<\/b><\/p>\n
A\u011fustos sonunda BRICS\u2019e K\u00f6rfez b\u00f6lgesinden \u00fc\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol \u00fcreticisi Suudi Arabistan, Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kat\u0131lmas\u0131, petrodolar sistemi i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ihtar oldu.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6ylece d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en de\u011ferli g\u00fc\u00e7 harika g\u00fc\u00e7lerinden \u00fc\u00e7\u00fc (Rusya, \u0130ran ve Suudi Arabistan) bir ortaya geldi. Rusya ve Suudi Arabistan tek ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fcnya petrol \u00fcretiminin d\u00f6rtte birini kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Rusya ve \u0130ran d\u00fcnyan\u0131n birinci ve ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck do\u011falgaz rezervlerine sahip.<\/p>\n
Suudi Arabistan ve BAE \u00fczere onlarca y\u0131ld\u0131r ABD’nin yak\u0131n m\u00fcttefiki olan \u00fclkelerin art\u0131k Washington’un yeminli d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00c7in ve Rusya ile d\u0131\u015f ba\u011flar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7e\u015fitlendirebilmesi ve ABD ve AB’nin \u00e7ok yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fck\u00fc alt\u0131ndaki \u0130ran’\u0131n hem Moskova hem de Pekin ile stratejik i\u015ftirake sahip olmas\u0131 k\u0131ymetli geli\u015fmeler…<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00fc\u00e7 zengini \u00fclkeler dolar d\u0131\u015f\u0131 para \u00fcniteleri \u00fczerinden petrol ticaretine de ziyadesiyle a\u00e7\u0131k davran\u0131yorlar. Bilhassa petrol ticaretinde \u00c7in Yuan\u0131 ve \u00f6b\u00fcr ulusal para \u00fcnitelerinin kullan\u0131m\u0131 art\u0131k global \u00f6l\u00e7ekte b\u00fcy\u00fcyen bir ger\u00e7eklik haline geldi.<\/p>\n
Soru \u015fu: Global iktisattaki dolars\u0131zla\u015fma s\u00fcreci BRICS’teki geni\u015flemeyle daha da ilerleyebilir mi?<\/p>\n
YUAN, \u00c7\u0130N\u2019\u0130N GLOBAL \u0130KT\u0130SATTAK\u0130 H\u0130SSES\u0130 \u00d6L\u00c7\u00dcS\u00dcNDE H\u0130SSE SAH\u0130B\u0130 DE\u011e\u0130L<\/b><\/p>\n
Bir de \u015fu var; y\u0131llard\u0131r \u00c7in inan\u0131lmaz bir y\u00fckseli\u015fte ve global iktisatta ABD’nin hissesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Global mal ve hizmet \u00fcretiminde 1980’de y\u00fczde 32 olan ABD’nin hissesi 2020’de y\u00fczde 24’e indi. T\u0131pk\u0131 periyotta global ticaretteki hissesi da y\u00fczde 14’ten y\u00fczde 11’e indi.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnyan\u0131n ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck iktisad\u0131 (sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc paritesine nazaran birinci) ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck mal ihracat\u0131 yapan \u00fclkesi olan \u00c7in’in global ticareti domine etti\u011fini ve global mal ihracat\u0131ndaki hissesinin y\u00fczde 14.4 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fczde, dolar\u0131n global ticarette hissesinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi, \u00c7in Yuan\u0131’n\u0131n daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hisse sahibi olmas\u0131 ola\u011fan kar\u015f\u0131lanabilir.<\/p>\n
Bu y\u0131l\u0131n birinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde \u00c7in’in hudut kom\u015fular\u0131 ile ticaretinde yuan\u0131n hissesi birinci sefer dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7ti. Yuan\u0131n hudut ticaretindeki hissesi y\u00fczde 49’a ula\u015f\u0131rken, bunun ba\u015fta gelen nedeni bilhassa Rusya ile yuan temelli ticaretin harikulade artmas\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n
Ancak global ticaret ve d\u00f6viz s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde yuan\u0131n hissesi o kadar y\u00fcksek de\u011fil. Haziran ay\u0131nda global Swift s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde dolar\u0131n hissesi y\u00fczde 42 iken, yuan y\u00fczde 2.8 ile Euro, Sterlin ve Japon Yeni’nden sonra be\u015finci oldu.<\/p>\n
PETRODOLAR S\u0130STEM\u0130N\u0130N \u00d6NC\u00dcL\u00dc\u011e\u00dcN\u00dc K\u0130SS\u0130NGER VE KRAL FAYSAL YAPTI<\/b><\/p>\n
Petrodolar sisteminin giderek zay\u0131flamas\u0131, global rezerv para dolar\u0131n hakimiyeti ve ABD hegemonyas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7ok de\u011ferli olumsuz geli\u015fmeler\u2026<\/p>\n
Bu yaz\u0131ya petrodolar sistemini anlatarak devam edelim, gelecek yaz\u0131da y\u00fckl\u00fc olarak hangi \u00fclkelerin ticarette y\u00fckl\u00fc olarak \u00c7in Yuan\u0131’n\u0131 kullanarak dolar\u0131n hakimiyetini nas\u0131l zedeledi\u011fini inceleriz.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n Ba\u015fkan Nixon, 1971’de dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmas\u0131n\u0131 “ge\u00e7ici olarak” ask\u0131ya ald\u0131. Bretton Woods sistemi sona erdi ve dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nla olan son ba\u011f\u0131 da kopar\u0131ld\u0131. \u00dclkeler, memleketler aras\u0131 ticaret i\u00e7in dolar depolamay\u0131 b\u0131rakabilirlerdi. Lakin, petrol \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkeler s\u00fcratle paha kaybeden dolar yerine alt\u0131nla \u00f6deme talep etmeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n Bunun \u00fczerine ABD yeni bir plan haz\u0131rlad\u0131. M\u00fcttefiki olarak Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131 se\u00e7ti. Bu mutabakat “petrodolar sistemi” olarak bilinmeye ba\u015fland\u0131.<\/p>\n Petrodolar sistemi, petrolle ilgili memleketler aras\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7lerin bir\u00e7oklar\u0131n\u0131n dolar cinsinden yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ekonomik bir sistem ve emeli dolara olan talebi art\u0131rmak, diyebiliriz. B\u00f6ylelikle ABD’nin; para \u00fcnitesinin g\u00fcc\u00fc yoluyla siyasi ve ekonomik n\u00fcfuzunu geni\u015fletmesine imkan sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f oluyor.<\/p>\n Sistemin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc periyodun ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Henry Kissinger ve Suudi Arabistan H\u00fck\u00fcmdar\u0131 Faysal bin Abdulaziz Al Saud yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n PETRODOLAR MUAHEDES\u0130N\u0130N DOLARIN HAK\u0130M\u0130YET\u0130N\u0130 GARANT\u0130LEYEN \u00dc\u00c7 MADDES\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n Geni\u015f petrol rezervleri ve global petrol pazar\u0131ndaki hakim pozisyonu nedeniyle \u00f6zel olarak se\u00e7ilen Suudi Arabistan ile yap\u0131lan mutabakat \u015f\u00f6yleydi:<\/p>\n 1-Suudi krall\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u00fcm petrol s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinin s\u0131rf ABD Dolar\u0131 cinsinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in OPEC’teki hakim pozisyonunu kullanacak.<\/p>\n 2-Krall\u0131k y\u0131ll\u0131k petrol gelirinden y\u00fcz milyarlarca dolar\u0131n\u0131 ABD Hazine tahvillerine aktaracak. Bu, ABD’nin daha fazla bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131na ve daha evvel hayal bile edilemeyen b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 finanse etmesine imkan sa\u011flayacak.<\/p>\n 3-Petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n ABD taraf\u0131ndan kabul edilebilir hudutlar i\u00e7inde olmas\u0131 garanti alt\u0131na al\u0131nacak ve yeni bir petrol ambargosu olmayacak.<\/p>\n \u00d6z\u00fcnde petrodolar sistemi, ABD’nin Suud Hanedan\u0131’n\u0131n hayatta kalmas\u0131n\u0131 garanti alt\u0131na alaca\u011f\u0131 bir mutabakatt\u0131.<\/p>\n Bu sistem \u00fclkelere dolar\u0131 tutmak ve kullanmak i\u00e7in \u00f6teki bir zorlay\u0131c\u0131 neden daha verdi. Ve dolar\u0131n d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck rezerv para \u00fcnitesi olarak e\u015fsiz stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc korudu.<\/p>\n DOLAR AMER\u0130KAN ESERLER\u0130YLE \u0130LG\u0130S\u0130 OLMAYAN TR\u0130LYONLARCA DOLARLIK S\u00dcRE\u00c7TE KULLANILIYOR<\/b><\/p>\n Malumunuz, petrol, e\u015fsiz bir jeopolitik g\u00fc\u00e7 ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ve en stratejik emtias\u0131… T\u0131pk\u0131 vakitte global petrol piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k hacmi alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131n\u0131n on kat\u0131…<\/p>\n T\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin petrole gereksinimi var. \u015eu \u00f6rne\u011fi verelim: T\u00fcrkiye, Kuveyt’ten petrol almak istiyorsa, evvel petrol\u00fcn paras\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6demek i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131ndan dolar\u0131 sat\u0131n almas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bu da ABD Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in devasa bir yapay pazar yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n Dolar yaln\u0131zca bir arac\u0131 ve Amerikan eserleri yahut hizmetleriyle hi\u00e7bir ilgisi olmayan, trilyonlarca dolarl\u0131k say\u0131s\u0131z s\u00fcre\u00e7te kullan\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n ABD, PETRODOLAR S\u0130STEM\u0130 SAYES\u0130NDE F\u0130NANSE EDEMEYECE\u011e\u0130 DEV A\u00c7IKLARI F\u0130NANSE EDEB\u0130L\u0130YOR<\/b><\/p>\n Ayr\u0131ca, petrol piyasas\u0131 \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck oldu\u011fundan memleketler aras\u0131 ticaret i\u00e7in bir referans vazifesi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Yani, \u00fclkeler asl\u0131nda petrol i\u00e7in dolar kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fc dolar\u0131 ba\u015fka ticaret s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde de kullan\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n Bu ABD’ye e\u015fsiz bir ekonomik ve jeopolitik g\u00fc\u00e7 veriyor.<\/p>\n Sonu\u00e7ta petrodolar, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc art\u0131r\u0131yor. Sistem, ayr\u0131yeten dolar ve ABD Hazine tahvilleri i\u00e7in daha derin ve daha likit bir piyasa yarat\u0131lmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyor. T\u0131pk\u0131 vakitte ABD’nin faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 yapay olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutmas\u0131na da yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyor. B\u00f6ylelikle, ABD h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, aksi halde finanse edemeyece\u011fi devasa a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 finanse edebiliyor.<\/p>\n PETRODOLAR S\u0130STEM\u0130NE MEYDAN OKUYAN BA\u015eKANLAR \u00d6LD\u00dcR\u00dcLD\u00dc<\/b><\/p>\n Bir de \u015fu var: Yak\u0131n tarihte petrodolar sistemine meydan okuyan d\u00fcnya \u00f6nderleri sonunda \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n \u00d6rnek: Saddam H\u00fcseyin ve Muammer Kaddafi… \u0130kisi de Irak ve Libya \u00fczere b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol \u00fcreticisi olan \u00fclkelerin ba\u015fkan\u0131yd\u0131. ABD’nin askeri m\u00fcdahaleleri ile tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 bir formda \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc, \u00fcrettikleri petrol\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir k\u0131ymetle satmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131lar, has\u0131l\u0131 petrodolar sistemine meydan okudular.<\/p>\n Tabii ki ABD’nin Saddam ve Kaddafi’yi devirmesine m\u00fcnasebet olarak bu meydan okumalar g\u00f6sterilmedi. Irak\u2019a h\u00fccumun m\u00fcnasebeti, kimyasal silahlard\u0131 ve asla bulunamad\u0131lar. Lakin bunun sorumlusu olarak g\u00f6sterilen Saddam H\u00fcseyin naklen yay\u0131nla idam edildi.<\/p>\n Ancak \u015fu anda de\u011fi\u015fik bir d\u00fcnyada ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. Rusya ve \u00c7in ve ba\u015fka \u00fcretici \u00fclkelerin petrodolar sistemini sarsmas\u0131 di\u011fer bir dinamik olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n Rusya ve \u00c7in, b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomiler oldu\u011fu \u00fczere, ABD ile rekabet edebilecek kadar geli\u015fmi\u015f n\u00fckleer cephaneli\u011fe sahip \u00fclkeler. Bu nedenle ABD, petrodolar sistemine darbe vurmak gayesindeki Rusya ve \u00c7in ile direkt askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya girmek istemiyor.<\/p>\n 2022 D\u00dcNYA F\u0130NANS TAR\u0130H\u0130NDE \u00c7OK DE\u011eERL\u0130 B\u0130R YILDI<\/b><\/p>\n T\u00fcm bu tarih\u00ee geri plan\u0131n \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 d\u00fcnya finans tarihinde de\u011ferli bir y\u0131l oldu. Rusya ile Ukrayna ortas\u0131ndaki sava\u015fla birlikte petrodolar sisteminin \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131na \u015fahit olundu. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu e\u011filim artarak devam etti. BRICS\u2019e b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol \u00fcreticilerinin kat\u0131lmas\u0131yla geli\u015fmelerin ne istikamete gidece\u011fini g\u00f6rece\u011fiz<\/p>\n Art\u0131k Rusya ile \u00c7in, ticaretlerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 yuan ile yap\u0131yor. Rusya Ekonomik Kalk\u0131nma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n son verisine nazaran, Rusya, \u00c7in ile olan ticaretinin y\u00fczde 75’ini \u00c7in Yuan\u0131 kullanarak yap\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131yeten \u00f6b\u00fcr \u00fclkelerle olan ticaret s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinin y\u00fczde 25’ini kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in de yuan kullan\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n Rusya, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131 geride b\u0131rakarak, \u00c7in\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol tedarik\u00e7isi oldu. Y\u0131l\u0131n birinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda 52.6 milyon ton (de\u011feri 28 milyar dolar) petrol satt\u0131 ve \u00f6demelerin b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131 yuan ile ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n YUNAN\u0130STAN\u2019DA SYRIZA\u2019NIN L\u0130DERL\u0130K KOLTU\u011eUNA ESK\u0130 B\u0130R GOLDMAN SACHS \u0130\u015eLEMC\u0130S\u0130 PARA\u015e\u00dcTLE OTURUVERD\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n Kom\u015fu Yunanistan’da enteresan geli\u015fmeler oldu. Ge\u00e7en hafta sonu bir denizcilik \u015firketinin CEO’su ve eski Goldman Sachs trader’\u0131 Stefanos Kasselakis, ana muhalefet partisi, sosyalist Syriza’n\u0131n \u00f6nderi Alexis \u00c7ipras’\u0131n yerine se\u00e7ildi.<\/p>\n Kasselakis, 133 bin 600 parti \u00fcyesinin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 57’sinin oyunu ald\u0131; rakibi, Syriza’n\u0131n eski \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma bakan\u0131 Efi Ah\u00e7\u0131o\u011flu idi. \u00c7ipras, May\u0131s ay\u0131ndaki se\u00e7im ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerine ba\u015fkanl\u0131ktan istifa ederken, halefinin Efi Ah\u00e7\u0131o\u011flu oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n Ancak, birka\u00e7 ay \u00f6ncesine kadar ABD’de ya\u015fayan, hi\u00e7bir politik deneyimi ve 2023’ten evvel Syriza ile bilinen bir ili\u015fkisi olmayan Kasselakis’in Amerikan finans kapitalinin en \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan kurumu Goldman Sachs’ta \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 sert tenkitlere yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Kasselakis ayr\u0131yeten Joe Biden’\u0131n 2008 ba\u015fkanl\u0131k \u00f6n se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131nda istekli olarak misyon yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n ‘\u0130NG\u0130L\u0130ZCES\u0130 VE F\u0130NANS B\u0130LG\u0130S\u0130YLE M\u0130TSOTAK\u0130S \u0130LE REKABET EDECEK’<\/b><\/p>\n Kasselakis, liderlik se\u00e7imi s\u0131ras\u0131nda “daha uygun \u0130ngilizcesi, finans ve i\u015fletme” bilgisi nedeniyle Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Kyriakos Mitsotakis’i yenmek i\u00e7in daha yeterli bir pozisyonda olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Syriza’n\u0131n ABD’deki Demokratlar \u015fekli “b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7ad\u0131r” partisi kurarak “ABD form\u00fcl\u00fcn\u00fc m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olan en k\u0131sa m\u00fcddette kopyalamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini” s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n \u0130ktidardaki Yeni Demokrasi partisinin temsilcileri kendisini tebrik ederken, Syriza’n\u0131n art\u0131k daha ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir yol izleyece\u011fini ve Kasselakis’in partiyi Syriza’n\u0131n son se\u00e7imde kaybetti\u011fi yere ger\u00e7ek; merkeze ta\u015f\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylediler.<\/p>\n Babas\u0131 da bir armat\u00f6r olan Kasselakis, adeta para\u015f\u00fctle inerek Syriza’n\u0131n liderli\u011fine oturuverdi. Yoksa, 38 ya\u015f\u0131ndaki avukat A\u015f\u00e7\u0131o\u011flu’nun liderli\u011fine kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131l\u0131yordu. 35 ya\u015f\u0131ndaki Girit k\u00f6kenli Kasselakis, kl\u00e2sik Syriza se\u00e7menine ya da genel olarak Yunan soluna uygun bir ba\u015fkan de\u011fil. “PASOK’lu sosyalistlere nazaran fazla kentli, KKE kom\u00fcnistlerine nazaran ise fazla liberal ve Syriza i\u00e7in de b\u00fcsb\u00fct\u00fcn \u00e7ok \u00e7a\u011fda\u015f bir siyaset\u00e7i” olarak yorumlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n AFETLER \u00dcLKEY\u0130 MAHVETT\u0130 FAKAT \u0130KT\u0130SAT \u00c2L\u00c2 YOLDA, SEBZE-MEYVE F\u0130YATLARI \u00c7OK Y\u00dcKSEK<\/b><\/p>\n Yunanistan’da A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda Dedea\u011fa\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinde 13 g\u00fcn s\u00fcren, Yunanistan’\u0131n son 20 y\u0131lda ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck orman yang\u0131n\u0131nda, 826 bin d\u00f6n\u00fcmden fazla alan yand\u0131, 21 ki\u015fi \u00f6ld\u00fc. Akabinde Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda Tesalya b\u00f6lgesini etkileyen seller Volos, Pilio, Larisa ve Farsala \u00fczere yerle\u015fim yerlerinde \u00f6nemli hasara yol a\u00e7t\u0131, 17 ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti. <\/p>\n Do\u011fal afetlere ra\u011fmen Yunan iktisad\u0131 canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \u00dclkede gayrisafi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la (GSY\u0130H) y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde, daha evvelki d\u00f6rt \u00e7eyrek y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini g\u00f6stererek y\u00fczde 1.3 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc.<\/p>\n Eyl\u00fcl prestijiyle y\u00fczde 2.4 ile Euro b\u00f6lgesindeki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc enflasyon kaydedildi. Fakat \u00fclkede besin fiyatlar\u0131 hala \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek. Bilhassa zerzevat fiyatlar\u0131; domatesin kilosu 2.5, karpuz 1, taze fasulye 5, patl\u0131can 2 Euro… Zerzevat fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 17.5, meyvede y\u00fczde 11.<\/p>\n MANZARA \u00c7OK BERBATTI, OTOBANI YANMI\u015e ODUN KOKUSU KAPLADI<\/b><\/p>\n Ge\u00e7en hafta oralar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fck. \u00c7ok berbatt\u0131, her yer yanm\u0131\u015f siyah a\u011fa\u00e7 g\u00f6vdesi kapl\u0131, zeytinlikler de yanm\u0131\u015f, hepsi sararm\u0131\u015f. New York’tan daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir alan yanm\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n \u0130psala’dan Yunanistan’a girdikten k\u0131sa bir m\u00fcddet sonra yanm\u0131\u015f ormanlar ba\u015fl\u0131yor, Dedea\u011fa\u00e7’\u0131n giri\u015finde ve \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131nda devam ediyor. Neredeyse G\u00fcm\u00fclcine’ye kadar… Biz yoldayken, hafif bir ya\u011fmur ya\u011fd\u0131, feci bir yanm\u0131\u015f odun kokusu kaplad\u0131 ortal\u0131\u011f\u0131… Yang\u0131n otoban\u0131 atlay\u0131p devam etmi\u015f. Zati bir m\u00fchlet \u0130psala hudut kap\u0131s\u0131 ve otoban kapat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n Do\u011fal afetlere ra\u011fmen Yunan iktisad\u0131 canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \u00dclkede gayrisafi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la (GSY\u0130H) y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde, daha evvelki d\u00f6rt \u00e7eyrek y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini g\u00f6stererek y\u00fczde 1.3 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. <\/p>\n MOODY\u2019S NOTU \u0130K\u0130 BASAMAK B\u0130RDEN ARTIRDI, ‘DI\u015e \u015eOKLARA KAR\u015eI HASSAS’ DED\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n Bu ortada kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody’s, Yunanistan’\u0131n kredi notunu iki kademe birden y\u00fckselterek, Ba3’ten Ba1’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bu epeydir beklenen bir geli\u015fmeydi. Lakin bu not \u00fclkenin tahvillerine yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilmesini sa\u011flayacak d\u00fczeyin bir ad\u0131m gerisinde…<\/p>\n Siyasi istikrara de\u011finen Moody’s, kamu maliyesinin, bankac\u0131l\u0131k sisteminin d\u00fczg\u00fcnle\u015fti\u011fini bildirdi. Moody’s, Yunan h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin \u0131slahat uygulamas\u0131 konusundaki kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 “g\u00fcvenilir ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc” olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtti.<\/p>\n Ancak Moody’s, turizm ve denizcilik \u00fczere kilit kesimlerin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve de\u011feri g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, iktisad\u0131n d\u0131\u015f \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 hassas oldu\u011fu konusunda uyard\u0131.<\/p>\n AVRUPA\u2019DA Y\u00dcKSEK ENFLASYON PER\u0130YODUNUN SONU MU?<\/b><\/p>\n Avrupa’da enflasyon d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda Euro b\u00f6lgesinde enflasyon y\u00fczde 4.3 ile son iki y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczeyine indi. A\u011fustos’ta y\u00fczde 5.2’ydi. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (ECB) faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n tesiriyle d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flayan enflasyon, Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131ndan evvelki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczeye geldi.<\/p>\n Avrupa’n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck iktisad\u0131 Almanya’da y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon y\u00fczde 4.3’e geriledi. A\u011fustos’ta y\u00fczde 6.4’t\u00fc. Bu keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte baz tesirinin de katk\u0131s\u0131 var.<\/p>\n Fransa’da enflasyon y\u00fczde 5.6’ya d\u00fc\u015ferken, \u0130talya’da y\u00fczde 5.7’ye y\u00fckseldi. Bu y\u0131l Avrupa’n\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyon oran\u0131na sahip olan \u0130spanya’da ise artan elektrik ve akaryak\u0131t maliyetleri nedeniyle \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ayda da artarak Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3.2’ye oldu.<\/p>\n ABD’DE ARABA \u00c7ALI\u015eANLARI GREV\u0130 B\u00dcY\u00dcYOR<\/b><\/p>\n ABD’deki araba personelleri grevi geni\u015fliyor. Birle\u015fik Otomotiv Personelleri (UAW) sendikas\u0131, grevin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftas\u0131nda Ford ve General Motors fabrikalar\u0131nda 7 bin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131n daha greve gidece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Stellantis’te (Chrysler) \u00f6nemli ilerleme sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fc, sendika yeni bir teklif yapt\u0131, grevde geni\u015flemeye dahil olmad\u0131.<\/p>\n Sendika, ba\u015fka taleplerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra d\u00f6rt y\u0131l i\u00e7inde fiyatlarda yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 36 art\u0131\u015f ve yeni i\u015fe al\u0131nanlara daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyat ve daha az toplumsal haklar sa\u011flayan uygulamalara son verilmesini talep ediyor.<\/p>\n \u015eirketler y\u00fczde 20’lik bir maa\u015f art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve \u00f6b\u00fcr \u00f6d\u00fcnlerle \u00f6nerdiler.<\/p>\n ABD \u0130KT\u0130SADINA \u0130K\u0130 KIYMETL\u0130 TEHD\u0130T: Y\u00dcKSEK FA\u0130Z VE ARTAN PETROL F\u0130YATLARI<\/b><\/p>\n Y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131 ve petrol ve akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f Amerikan iktisad\u0131n\u0131 zorluyor.<\/p>\n Hem y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131 hem de g\u00fc\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 “t\u00fcketiciler i\u00e7in tats\u0131z, bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 i\u00e7in itici ve iktisat i\u00e7in tehlikeli olan makus bir kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m” olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerinin son on y\u0131llar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyine y\u00fckselmesi, t\u00fcketiciler ve i\u015fletmeler i\u00e7in maliyetleri art\u0131r\u0131rken, Wall Street’i de sarst\u0131. Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (FED) sakinli\u011fe neden olmadan enflasyonu bast\u0131rma u\u011fra\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 karma\u015f\u0131k hale getirdi.<\/p>\n Ayn\u0131 vakitte, Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna ile sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda 2022’de ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 tepelerden d\u00fc\u015fen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 tekrar y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti. Varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde seyrediyor. ABD’de ortalama akaryak\u0131t fiyat\u0131 galon ba\u015f\u0131na 3.80 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. T\u00fcketicilerin alarma ge\u00e7mesini ve siyasi sars\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 tetikleyen galon ba\u015f\u0131na 4 dolar hududuna yakla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n Uzmanlar, bu geli\u015fmelere ABD \u015firketlerinin d\u0131\u015f \u00fclkelerdeki k\u00e2rlar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131layan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar da ekledi\u011finde, “ekonominin ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7 olan bir \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131yor” yorumunu yap\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n Di\u011fer yandan, kimi uzmanlar, ABD devlet bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131n\u0131p sat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, global finans sisteminin temeli olan 25 trilyon dolarl\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili piyasas\u0131n\u0131n giderek dev bir kumarhaneye benzemeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor.<\/p>\n Piyasan\u0131n onlarca y\u0131ld\u0131r i\u015fledi\u011fi kl\u00e2sik sistemlerden vazge\u00e7ilirken, hedge fonlar\u0131 ve onlar\u0131n son derece spek\u00fclatif ve riskli operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131n piyasaya giderek daha fazla hakim olmas\u0131 dert yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n BORSALAR D\u00dc\u015e\u00dc\u015eTE, PETROL EYL\u00dcL\u2019DE Y\u00dcZDE 12 Y\u00dcKSELD\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n Wall Street, berbat bir Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131n\u0131 ve \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fi geride b\u0131rakt\u0131. Son dakika mutabakat\u0131yla \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ilen h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kapanmas\u0131 tehdidi ve \u00f6zelikle tahvil faizlerinin onlarca y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 piyasa \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n Dow Jones endeksi Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 3.2, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fi ise y\u00fczde 2.4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle, S&P 500 ay\u0131 y\u00fczde 4.8 ve \u00e7eyre\u011fi y\u00fczde 3.5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle tamamlad\u0131. Nasdaq, Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4.9 kay\u0131p ya\u015fad\u0131 ve \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 2.9 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 arz cephesindeki s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmalar\u0131n tesiriyle Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 12, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 29 y\u00fckseldi. Bat\u0131 Teksas petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn varili 91 dolardan haftay\u0131 kapatt\u0131. G\u00f6zler 4 Ekim’deki OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131na \u00e7evrilmi\u015f durumda ve d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte petrol arz\u0131nda daha fazla dert bekleniyor.<\/p>\n BU HAFTA NELER OLACAK?<\/b><\/p>\n Bu hafta k\u0131ymetli bilgiler var. ABD’de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam bilgileri ve Lider Jeremy Powell ve birtak\u0131m FED yetkililerinin konu\u015fmalar\u0131 de\u011fer kazan\u0131yor. \u0130\u015f ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7lar\u0131, hizmetler ve imalat sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksleri, d\u0131\u015f ticaret bilgileri ve fabrika sipari\u015fleri \u00fczere \u00f6b\u00fcr de\u011ferli bilgiler var.<\/p>\n Ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrkiye ile Endonezya, \u0130svi\u00e7re, G\u00fcney Kore ve Filipinler’deki enflasyon oranlar\u0131, Avustralya, Yeni Zelanda ve Hindistan’daki faiz kararlar\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan takip edilecek. Euro b\u00f6lgesinde i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 ve Almanya’daki fabrika sipari\u015fleri de takip edilecek. ECB Lideri Christine Lagarde\u2019nin konu\u015fmas\u0131 da \u00f6nemli\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u00c7in Yuan’\u0131 bilhassa petrol s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde global ticaretteki hissesini s\u00fcratle art\u0131r\u0131yor. BRICS\u2019te bir ortaya gelen \u00fc\u00e7 petrol devi Rusya, Suudi Arabistan ve \u0130ran, dolars\u0131zla\u015fma e\u011filimine s\u00fcrat verebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":34794,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[2440,1581,2441,65,2191],"yoast_head":"\n